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Friday, June 8, 2012

French Open 2012: Djokovic Versus Nadal - Preview


Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal, the best two players in the world will face off in the finals on Sunday, the 10th June. History will be chasing them. Djokovic can be the first player since Rod Laver in 1969 to hold all the four Grand Slam titles. Nadal can be the first player to become a seven times champion at Roland Garros.

Djokovic had been Nadal’s nemesis for more than a year until Nadal defeated him at Monte Carlo in April after seven straight defeats in the finals. Djokovic has again demonstrated exemplary mental strength in this tournament when he came back from two sets down to win against Andreas Seppi and when he saved four match points against the local favourite Jo-Wilfried Tsonga to win in five sets. Nadal has had easy path to the finals where he has not lost a single set. Both have a rest day on Saturday to get ready for another chapter in their intriguing rivalry on Sunday.

Nadal has a killer forehand with which he has triumphed over his opponents through baseline rallies. This was so until Djokovic appeared in a new avatar in 2011after which Nadal was reduced to an also ran player for most of 2011. He has lost to Djokovic in all the Grand Slam finals which they have played in 2011 and so far in 2012. Djokovic has had physical and mental edge over Nadal, the two factors which had catapulted Nadal into invincible position in 2010. Have the dynamics changed, at least on clay? The finals on Sunday will decide whether Nadal has got over the Djokovic complex, notwithstanding his victories in Monte Carlo and Rome.

Djokovic has added extra muscle and accuracy to his basic shots to become the best player in the world. He is the best in attack, counter attack and defence. His precision and power on ground strokes is unmatched. He has superior serve and return of serve than Nadal. His backhand is the best in the world. His anticipation and court positioning is impeccable. He does not leave any gap in the court. More than anything, he has peaked at the right time. The benefit of tough matches against Seppi and Tsonga could be seen in straight set defeat of Roger Federer in the semi-finals. There were no symptoms of fatigue in the semi-final match.

Nadal has a superior forehand on clay, but it has not bothered Djokovic in the past. The extra top spin that Nadal generates causes extra difficulties on clay. Djokovic will pin him mostly on the backhand, both to induce short return and to open up the forehand corner. Djokovic has often exploited gaps in the forehand corner when Nadal tends to convert backhand into forehand. He is a past master in using the pace and power of opponent’s shot, just directing the return to the other corner of the court. Nadal tried to neutralize this in Rome by mixing ground strokes with high balls in the middle of the court. He is likely to repeat this tactics. Nadal served only 60% of first serves against David Ferrer, which he cannot afford against the best returner in the world. Djokovic has used return of serve as a weapon to earn point within three - four shots. Nadal will have to revert to his normal range of 70% first serves. Djokovic served well against Federer in the semi-finals.

There is a danger that easy victories can lull a person into belief that he is playing his best. Nadal has got easy victories, but has not faced quality opposition in his draw. There was nobody to punish the short balls that he was sometimes feeding to the opponents. Ferrer does not have shots to kill the short balls. Nicolas Almagro was hampered by single fisted  backhand. Nadal is likely to repeat the winning game and change it only when it fails. Djokovic is not losing the longer rallies to those who have weaker  backhand which might force Nadal to go for winner earlier than he does. He might commit a few more errors going for the lines since Djokovic has great speed and good anticipation.

Djokovic has pushed down Nadal from the top position not for nothing. He has demonstrated his superiority in many places, but not at Roland Garros. He has the best combination of defence and attack. This tournament has however been owned by Nadal from his very first participation in 2005. The only blur came in 2009 when he suffered the biggest upset at the hands of Robin Soderling. His style of counter punching and solid defence has proved almost invincible on the clay court of Roland Garros.

Djokovic has stronger basics but Nadal has better credentials at Roland Garros. It is too precious a title for Nadal to fritter away.

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