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Sunday, September 11, 2011

U.S.Open 2011 Finals Preview: Rafael Nadal - Novak Djokovic Blockbuster


The top two players will vie for the trophy at the last Grand Slam event of the year when they meet on Monday at Flushing Meadows in the U.S. Open, 2011. Novak Djokovic is favoured to prevail over Rafael Nadal yet again. 

Djokovic has become so familiar with Nadal’s game that he was there where the ball was supposed to come, and the ball did come there. Nadal has found it difficult to add surprise element in his game. On his part, Djokovic shots are landing a yard from the baseline, forcing Nadal to go on the defensive all the time. Nadal is finding it difficult to score comfortably even when it is his service game. Djokovic shots land inches from the lines and with such speed that even a good mover like Nadal finds it difficult to regroup to run to the other side. The angle is so acute that he is taken far out of the court. 

The court positioning is all familiar. Nadal is yards behind the baseline and Djokovic is just at the baseline. Nadal is forced to play short when he is not able to place his entire body weight behind the shot. The ball is hit from so much behind the baseline that Djokovic has ample time to read it and reach it. The ball has lot of top spin and therefore, the parabolic trajectory has more length to be covered giving extra fraction of second to Djokovic. On the return, the ball comes back with greater speed bursting off the court like a canon ball. It is all power hitting with Djokovic excelling Nadal in the baseline exchanges. Nadal tends to move to the deuce court side of the midpoint and tends to convert backhand into forehand. This gives open space to the opponent in the ad court corner. Many hard hitters have scored winners on this side, though on a few occasions, Nadal is able to hit spectacular down the line forehand shot on the run. 

Nadal gets taste of his own medicine when Djokovic runs down every winner and returns it with greater strength. This is what Nadal used to do to others. His movement is fluid whereas that of Nadal is spontaneous. It comes from greater anticipation. Nadal is also a very good mover, but his speed is good in long steps. The short step adjustment to an incoming shot is better for Djokovic.  Secondly, familiarity with Nadal’s stock shots makes court positioning easier for Djokovic. The cross court forehand to the backhand of the opponent has succeeded against single fisted backhanders like Federer, but it is not devastating against double fisted backhanders. 

Djokovic now plays with lot of buffer. He has capacity to get out of break points with good one-two-three combination of shots. This was a typical Federer preserve in his prime. After a good serve, advance to the middle of the court and whack the return to the other side of court at an acute angle. Nadal was seen running from side to side and capitulating ultimately to the wide shot. Djokovic is now taking the ball on the rise as Federer or Agassi used to do. This further takes time away from Nadal. Nadal too plays angles or aggressive shot, but he waits for the short ball. Djokovic, on the other hand, can hit such aggressive shot from any position in the court. 

If Nadal plays above his capacity and Djokovic plays below his, Nadal will triumph. His motivation will be immense and his intensity will be very high. But what home work the team has done to counter Djokovic superiority will be seen only on the court. It does not appear to be cake walk for either of them. Nadal will do his best to turn the tide. It remains to be seen what toll the five setter against Federer has taken on Djokovic.

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