Rafael Nadal, the second seed will challenge his nemesis Novak
Djokovic, the top seed, in the finals of the Australian Open 2012 on Sunday
evening. He lost six finals to Djokovic in 2011. Djokovic is the defending
champion.
Reasons for Nadal’s repeated defeats against Djokovic are not
difficult to fathom. Djokovic has become a confident and mentally strong player in 2011. He has added something extra to his shots. He is able to anticipate Nadal’s shots and is in a comfortable position to
execute his shots. Djokovic hits winners from inside the baseline, creating
angles difficult to reach. Baseline rallies were the bread and butter of
Nadal’s game, but he is now losing most of them against Djokovic. As the
rallies progress, Nadal becomes more and more defensive and retreats more and
more behind baseline. His normal length of shot lands the ball shorter and
shorter. Djokovic is inside the baseline to pounce upon such short balls.
Nadal had Federer on the other side of the net on most of the
occasions in the past. He developed his game to exploit Federer’s weakness. The
top spin forehand to Federer’s backhand became so much of a stock shot that
Nadal would instinctively play it as the bread and butter shot. Now Nadal
appears to have become a prisoner of such instinctive play. The high bouncing
forehand brought him trophies at the cost of Federer and also, at the French
Open where such shot is otherwise too a good shot. In retrospect, by acquiring
a particular winning game over Federer, team Nadal did not find it necessary to
develop other type of game. Even after suffering reverses against Djokovic in
the hard court tournaments before the clay season in 2011, the same game was
played in the clay tournaments only to lose even more easily. The instinctive
cross court forehand to Djokovic backhand became a victim of easy backhand
winner from Djokovic. Djokovic has arguably the best backhand in the game,
something of the calibre of David Nalbandian or Marat Safin in their prime.
Nadal continued to play the same game against Djokovic to lose the finals at
Wimbledon and the U.S. Open last year. In this Australian Open too, Nadal is
playing the same type of game. Whether he comes out with a different strategy
and is able to execute it too, will be seen on the day only.
It appears that Djokovic technique on ground strokes is simpler,
straightforward and precise. His forehand shot is aimed to a point almost in a
straight line and because of his fitness he is in a position to take the ball
before it dips. He hits it almost in a straight line towards the intended
target. Nadal lets the ball come to him and hits it in a parabola. It has its
own strong and weak points. Since Djokovic reaches the ball and Nadal lets the
ball reach him, one has seen Nadal being pushed from corner to corner by
Djokovic in 2011. Even if they were presumed to be equally fast, Djokovic
motion is straight and his posture while hitting the ball is not contrived. Since
there is little set up time required, Djokovic was seen unhurried while
returning Nadal shots than vice versa. Moreover, the parabola is lengthier and
gives extra time to Djokovic to prepare his return. In the finals, Nadal may
try to hit flatter, but he will commit more unforced errors since he has not
done this in the previous rounds.
Nadal has to make adjustments when playing against somebody who has
figured out his game totally. He might play inside out forehand as much as the
usual cross court forehand. He might go on offensive before Djokovic does. Out
and out offence is not Nadal’s game. He started as a defensive player before he
honed his game to hard courts and grass. On the other hand, Djokovic has made
adjustments to his game in 2011. He appears more versatile than Nadal since he
is equally good on both flanks. His serves are better, physical movements are
more fluid and he is constantly on attack. If Nadal is able to take the match
to the fifth set, he can hope that Djokovic
might feel a bit tired after having played Andy Murray for almost five hours in
the semi-final.